Over the last few months, it has been widely accepted
that the “credit crunch” is the biggest financial and economic crisis
to hit the Western world since the Great Depression of the 1930s.
Virtually every individual has been affected directly or indirectly by
the market meltdown and, for the first time in recent history, leading
Western commentators have questioned the viability of the capitalist
system and the fractional reserve banking model. This article seeks to
explain the root causes of the credit crunch from both a Western and an
Islamic perspective, before proposing an Islamic solution.
From a Western perspective, the credit crunch is
widely blamed upon the ‘sub prime’ crisis which originated in America,
where banks offered housing loans to those known in the industry as
‘ninjas’ (no income, no job, no assets). Such people often had poor
financial track records. However these loans were subsequently
repackaged into financial products known as ‘collaterised debt
obligations’ (CDOs). They were then mixed in with ‘prime loans’ and sold
on to other banks via the wholesale market. In theory, this trading in
debts was meant to spread the risk of bad loans amongst many different
banks, thereby reducing risk. In fact, it lead to the ‘sub prime’
problem infecting not just the banks that offered the dodgy loans in the
first place, but a far, far greater number of banks who bought the
‘toxic’ loans via the wholesale markets. The knock-on effect of this was
for banks to suddenly become unsure of the value of their ‘toxic’
assets and as a result to stop lending each other money, or to lend
money only at much higher rates. As a result the London Interbank
Offered Rate (LIBOR) shot up to unprecedented levels, which in turn
massively increased the cost of providing loans to the general public.
The Western perspective also argues that this initial
problem with ‘sub prime’ debts triggered a secondary problem whereby
banks which relied for cashflow principally on accessing funds from
other banks via the wholesale market, suddenly found they could no
longer borrow enough money to meet their cashflow requirements. This is
what led to the crisis with Northern Rock, which, more than any other UK
bank relied on the wholesale market rather than its own depositor funds
to meet the bank’s day-to-day cash requirements.
The paralysis in interbank lending led in turn to
banks drastically reducing the money they lent to customers, as well as
dramatically raising the cost of existing loans. This in turn
substantially reduced demand for property and led to the ongoing crash
in the property market. This is now feeding back to create a yet bigger
problem for the banks because property is what they mostly hold as
collateral for all the debts people owe them. Evidently this collateral
is now worth a lot less than a year ago, and this will inevitably lead
to a much higher rate of loan defaults and repossessions.
The innovations in the banking system over the last
seven years or so have led to a transformation in the banking model.
Historically, banks used only the money they received from depositors to
lend to borrowers. They were not able to obtain money from other
sources other than depositors. However in recent years, banks were able
to rely not just on depositors, but also on the wholesale money markets,
where they could borrow money from other banks and then resell it onto
their borrowers at a higher interest rate. This secondary market was in
part made possible by the creation of ‘credit default swaps’ (CDS).
These allowed a bank to effectively insure itself against the risk that a
borrower might not pay back a loan. In turn this led to an illusion
that loans were now much lower risk and allowed such loans to be bought
and sold. This, in sequence, led to the creation of the CDO (collaterised debt obligations) mentioned earlier, which were bought by banks as interest bearing investments.
The net effect of these banking innovations was a
massive increase in the amount of money being traded by the banks. Most
people are not aware that banks only hold as deposit approximately £1
for every £20 lent out.
The other £19 is created artificially by banks via a
process known as ‘fractional reserve’. The last few years has seen the
fractional reserve being lowered so that banks typically lend out not
just £20 but £30 or even £40 of debt for every £1 of deposits held.
Once the credit crunch started to bite, there began a
rush to withdraw deposits from certain banks, notably Northern Rock.
This ‘run’ on the banks had a huge impact on the banks’ ability to lend
money, as for every £1 of deposits they lost, they had to reduce their
lending not just by £1 but actually by £30 or £40! This in turn
reinforced the banks’ reluctance to lend money.
Based on such trends it is apparent that if this
situation is allowed to continue people will lose all confidence not
just in the banks but in the economy itself, as banks will virtually
stop lending money to anyone, and will become trapped in a vicious
circle in which they refuse to lend money, leading to a continued
downward spiral in property prices. Such a problem has already begun to
affect house prices, where many banks have begun to repossess homes and
other forms of collateral in order to resell them. This allows the banks
to reduce their outstanding loans and improve their liquidity which in
turn will finance other projects. However, because there are now large
numbers of repossessed homes for sale, their prices have now dropped
sharply, often many times below their original purchase prices. This
means that such commodities will be unable to accrue the original amount
of money lent. Such problems will have grave consequences for the wider
economy and will reduce the value of the collateral held by the banks,
and so on until we find ourselves in a severe economic slump, as was the
case in the 1930s.
The above represents a very brief and simple Western
analysis of the causes of the credit crunch. The conventional Western
explanation for this crisis and how to solve it is quite simple: The
banks became too greedy and simply lent out too much without carrying
out proper checks. They also created too much artificial money via the
fractional reserve system. The way forward is for governments to
temporarily replenish the banks' deposits, allowing them to resume
lending, and this will slowly allow confidence to return to the system
thereby allowing the banks to reduce their reliance on the state.
Governments also seem keen to regulate banks better than they have done
in the past. This should reduce the banks’ reliance on the wholesale
markets as well as new-fangled financial instruments like the CDOs and
CDSs.
Having covered a secular analysis, we now turn to
Islam which proposes a very different explanation and solution for these
problems. Firstly, Islam does not consider money to be a commodity
which can be traded at a profit, that is to say a transaction which is
interest (or usury) based. Thus the reality of negating this Islamic
consideration provides us with the first part of the problem. Interest,
known as riba in Arabic, is one of the major violations of
God’s law, and when it spreads through society becoming an established
norm without any condemnation nothing can be expected but divine wrath.
Allah curses those who are involved in the usury process, regardless of
whether they are the prime or secondary beneficiaries. Such a strong
condemnation is intended to caution people to disassociate themselves
from any activity related to this destructive sin. Consequently, He, the
Most High, promised to wage war against those who consume riba, and has said:
"O you who believe! Be afraid of Allah and give up what remains (due to you) from riba (usury) (from now onward), if you are (really) believers. And if you do not do it, then take a notice of war from Allah and His Messenger but if you repent, you shall have your capital sums."1
In addition to prohibiting riba, Islam requires money to be fully asset backed.
This would result in banks only being able to offer
loans on a ratio of £1 lent out for every £1 held in deposits. The
ability to artificially create another £20, £30 or even £40 would be
outlawed and viewed as fraudulent activity. Indeed the reality is that
the fractional reserve system allows banks together with the very
wealthy entrepreneurs who, on account of their large collateral, are
always given the lion’s share of the money available to enrich
themselves by devaluing the worth of real assets and diluting the wealth
owned by the rest of society. Banks have been criticised of being "too
greedy". Does this mean that if they had not been greedy the problem
would not have arisen? Does this also mean that there may be some
acceptable level of ‘fractional reserve’ whereby £1 can create £10
safely?
An observation of any modern interest based society demonstrates that riba
is the enemy of charity and that the two (interest and charity) cannot
coexist. Charity here is not in reference to a few coins afforded to a
homeless individual, but rather charity that provides liquidity which
subsequently contributes towards building societies and ensuring
financial stability. Riba ultimately alters society’s morals
and principles from value-based ones into exchange-based ones.
Inevitably, our ethical and moral values are the primary victims in any
interestbased society, and as we have seen with current events, the less
fortunate do not have the ability to keep up with such an exchange
which ensures that they become victims of a system in which the benefits
tend to be in one direction. When the European Committee for Fatwa and
Research issued its fatwa (religious verdict) allowing Muslims
in the West to buy property using conventional interest based mortgages,
many Muslim scholars condemned it and advised Muslims against it. We
have never believed conventional mortgages to be a solution for the
housing problems facing Muslims in Europe. On the contrary such
mortgages will simply increase the scale of the problem such as the
proper role of charity being totally neglected as is evident with
today's economic system.
Islam neither endorses the capitalist nor the
communist financial model, and instead is a belief system that cannot be
compared to either, nor rivalled. However, both the capitalist and
socialist systems share certain elements (all the while attracting
Islamic condemnation for those that are not shared) with Islam such as
encouraging people to work, to be productive and earn as much as they
can, nevertheless, Islam encourages the aforementioned within certain
moral guidelines that are divinely ordained. Furthermore, since Islam
promotes an awareness of the hereafter in the hearts and minds of
believers, it instructs them not to be overcome by greed being
excessively attached to money. If an individual earns a lot, he is
encouraged to take part in spending from his earnings. This means that
the more he acquires, the more he spends and the more other people
benefit from his wealth. Adversely, many people have incurred huge
amounts of debt and are now struggling to pay off their monthly
instalments for house mortgages and loans. Whilst one can justifiably
argue that those who spent recklessly should now face the consequences
of their actions, it is also worth bearing in mind that the banks also
have a duty to lend responsibly, and that there are large numbers of
people who are financially illiterate and in need of greater protection.
To summarise, a banking system based on true Islamic
principles would prohibit both the paying or receiving of interest as
well as the artificial creation of money via the process of ‘fractional
reserve’. So how would the banks operate within such a system? Firstly,
the banks would need to fundamentally alter their approach and become
much more like investment partners to those who need money to purchase a
home or business. The bank would therefore become a joint owner of the
property/business and base its returns on the rental income/profits
generated by the property or business (akin to the shared ownership
schemes a number of housing associations are currently operating).
Furthermore, the banks would only be able to recoup their original
capital by reselling their share of the property/business at the
prevailing market value. However, as real partners, banks should have no
objection to owning real assets and hence would be ready to share the
consequential risk. {quotes}This scheme, although seemingly
inconsequential constitutes a major relief for the bank’s clients as
they would no longer live under the burden of debt and fear of
repossession.{/quotes}
Sadly however, this type of banking system does not
operate anywhere in the world at present although a little progress in
the right direction has been made in the last decade by Islamic finance
providers responding to demand from the Muslim masses for
Shariah-compliant finance. Proponents of Islamic banking contend that
by adopting such a system and preventing interest from being charged and
money being created artificially, not only would the economic boom and
bust cycle become much smoother, but economic growth would become more
sustainable, and crucially, the wealth created by economic activity
would be shared much more fairly by all of society.
The current crisis has caused many people to question
the very principles upon which conventional banking is based, and thus
we have before us a rare and valuable opportunity to seriously consider
developing much better alternatives to the existing banking model. We do
not pretend there to be a ready-made blueprint or a tried and tested
alternative model set up and ready to go, but rather the key principles
governing the development of this model are very clear, and, just as the
current banking model took centuries to evolve, so alternative models
will also take time to develop. The current crisis dramatically
underscores the need for us all to move away from that which has clearly
failed.
Guided by belief in the infinite wisdom of our
Creator, we would urge non-Muslims to study the Islamic economic system
with an open mind. Intelligent individuals (of whom there are many) will
realise that such a perfect system can only be divine in origin. They
will also note that such a system provides humanity with actual peace
and security both in this life and in the hereafter.
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